{rfName}
Po

Indexed in

License and use

Citations

19

Altmetrics

Analysis of institutional authors

Romo, HCorresponding AuthorSilvestre, MAuthorLopez Munguira, MiguelAuthor

Share

June 12, 2020
Publications
>
Article
No

Potential distribution models and the effect of climatic change on the distribution of Phengaris nausithous considering its food plant and host ants

Publicated to:JOURNAL OF INSECT CONSERVATION. 19 (6): 1101-1118 - 2015-12-01 19(6), DOI: 10.1007/s10841-015-9825-y

Authors: Romo H., Silvestre M., Munguira M.

Affiliations

Universidad Autónoma de Madrid - Author

Abstract

© 2015, Springer International Publishing Switzerland. Climate change has an effect upon the distribution of butterflies, affecting species that are already sensitive due to their specific ecological requirements. This is the case of Phengaris nausithous, an endangered species in the Iberian Peninsula. For its survival, the species needs to become a parasite of one of the two species of the Myrmica ant genus: M. rubra or M. scabrinodis, in whose nests it completes its life cycle. It also needs the presence of the larval host plant, Sanguisorba officinalis. Using the known distribution of P. nausithous in 10 × 10 km UTM squares, we work out the potential distribution of the species and the effect of climate change, using two different scenarios (SRES A2 and B2, which respectively predict 3.4 and 2.4 °C of temperature increase), by modulating it based on the species on which it depends for survival. The obtained models present AUC values (Area Under a Receiver Operating Characteristic—ROC-Curve) above 0.9 in the case of P. nausithous and S. officinalis, and above 0.8 in the case of the host ants, indicating acceptable models. Climatic models show a reduction of the potential distribution area of P. nausithous with both climatic scenarios, and predict as favourable areas in 2080 locations where the species is currently not found, but with presence of its host plant and ants. If this process takes place, an introduction in its favourable areas in the Pyrenees could be considered in order to conserve the species in the future.

Keywords

Climate changeIberian peninsulaLepidopteraMaxentPapilionoideaPhengaris nausithous

Quality index

Bibliometric impact. Analysis of the contribution and dissemination channel

The work has been published in the journal JOURNAL OF INSECT CONSERVATION due to its progression and the good impact it has achieved in recent years, according to the agency Scopus (SJR), it has become a reference in its field. In the year of publication of the work, 2015, it was in position , thus managing to position itself as a Q1 (Primer Cuartil), in the category Animal Science and Zoology.

From a relative perspective, and based on the normalized impact indicator calculated from the Field Citation Ratio (FCR) of the Dimensions source, it yields a value of: 1.29, which indicates that, compared to works in the same discipline and in the same year of publication, it ranks as a work cited above average. (source consulted: Dimensions Jul 2025)

Specifically, and according to different indexing agencies, this work has accumulated citations as of 2025-07-03, the following number of citations:

  • WoS: 9
  • Scopus: 9

Impact and social visibility

From the perspective of influence or social adoption, and based on metrics associated with mentions and interactions provided by agencies specializing in calculating the so-called "Alternative or Social Metrics," we can highlight as of 2025-07-03:

  • The use of this contribution in bookmarks, code forks, additions to favorite lists for recurrent reading, as well as general views, indicates that someone is using the publication as a basis for their current work. This may be a notable indicator of future more formal and academic citations. This claim is supported by the result of the "Capture" indicator, which yields a total of: 46 (PlumX).

Leadership analysis of institutional authors

There is a significant leadership presence as some of the institution’s authors appear as the first or last signer, detailed as follows: First Author (ROMO BENITO, HELENA) and Last Author (LOPEZ MUNGUIRA, MIGUEL).

the author responsible for correspondence tasks has been ROMO BENITO, HELENA.